After a week of jaw-dropping accusations, the quaint world of 2015 seems far away - Action News
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After a week of jaw-dropping accusations, the quaint world of 2015 seems far away

The remarkable revelations and accusations of the past weekfrom the expulsion of six Indian diplomats on Monday to the prime ministers challenge to the Conservatives at the foreign interference inquiry on Wednesday underline how the world has become a more dangerous and difficult place for Canada.

The world is a more dangerous neighbourhood now and our leaders need to face up to it

A photograph of late temple president Hardeep Singh Nijjar, back right, is seen outside the Guru Nanak Sikh Gurdwara Sahib in Surrey, B.C., on Tuesday, Oct. 15, 2024. Hardeep Singh Nijjar was assassinated in his vehicle while leaving the temple parking lot last year.
A photograph of late temple president Hardeep Singh Nijjar, back right, is seen outside the Guru Nanak Sikh Gurdwara Sahib in Surrey, B.C., on Tuesday, Oct. 15, 2024. Hardeep Singh Nijjar was assassinated in his vehicle while leaving the temple parking lot last year. (Darryl Dyck/The Canadian Press)

Nine years ago this fall, the leaders of the three major federal parties at the time gathered on a stage in Toronto for a debate on foreign policy. The resultingdiscussionseems a bit quaint now.

The topics covered Canada's contribution to the fight against the Islamic State, a refugee crisis in Syria, the Conservative government's anti-terror laws were not exactly trifling. But India received only a glancing reference. Donald Trump, who had announced his candidacy for president of the United States four months earlier, wasn't mentioned at all. Neither was China.

Literally and figuratively, it was a different time.

Canada's relationship with China was defined by "panda diplomacy," not "hostage diplomacy." "Foreign interference" had not yet entered the popular lexicon.And there was no reason to ask the party leaders how they would respond if they learned of accusations that a nominal ally had propagated a campaign of violence and extortion against Canadian citizens on Canadian soil.

The last nine years should humble anyone who thinks they can predict what will happen in the next nine. But the remarkable revelations and accusations of the past weekfrom the expulsion of six Indian diplomatsto the prime minister's challenge to the Conservatives at the foreign interference inquiry on Wednesday underline how the world has become a more dangerous place for Canada, in part due tonational leaderswho feel little compunction about acting aggressively toward this country and its citizens.

WATCH |Foreign interference with a partisan punch:

The Breakdown | Foreign interference with a partisan punch

6 days ago
Duration 19:50
The Nationals At Issue panel breaks down Prime Minister Justin Trudeaus testimony on foreign interference and escalating diplomatic issues with India. Plus, how the Liberals are dealing with the growing unrest in caucus.

"The world is more uncertain and less safe than it ever has been and the answer that Canada needs to give is to double down on the rule of law and on the international rules-based order that protects us all," Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said at the foreign interference inquiry this week.

Even if the prime minister's comments verged on hyperbole the world surely was more unsafe during two world wars it's fair to say Canadians are dealing now with threatsthat were notforeseeable in 2015. Coming to terms with that reality continues to prove difficult.

The challenges posed by an uncertain world

There is, for instance, anodd tendencyin our politics and punditry to assume whenever Canada finds itself in a dispute with another country that it's Canada that is somehow in the wrong,or that Canadian officialsneed to apologize and make amends. The last nine years from Donald Trump to China to India have pushed that very Canadian reflex past its breaking point.

Regardless, Conservatives would surely say the Liberals have failed entirely to meet the challenge. And Liberals might have to admit that they were not ready for what has unfolded or unravelled in recent years.

But the Liberals can fairly point to their efforts to minimise the threat posed byTrump through therenegotiation of NAFTA. The Liberal government also eventually rallied an international coalition to publicly shame China over its imprisonment of Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor.

Most of the infrastructure that now exists to deal with foreign interference was put in place by the Trudeau government. And it was the Liberals who created a national security committee of parliamentarians something the Harper government resisted doing.

The Liberals also can say that the foreign interference inquiry has failed to find the massive cover-up that the government's critics rushed to allege. But the inquiry has still revealedsignificant shortcomings in information-sharing and a political system that hasn't fully come to grips with the threat.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre stands at a podium, his face is visible above a bilingual sign that says
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has come under fire over his refusal to date to obtain a security clearance. (The Canadian Press/Nathan Denette)

For months, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has been content to point fingers and lob heavy accusations. But by refusing to obtain the security clearance that would allow him to review classified information himself while arguing that doing so would somehow limit his ability to pursue the government he left himself open to the sort of attack that Trudeau levelled on Wednesday.

If foreign interference is a threat to the Conservative Party the national security committee's report in June included an allegation of interference by India in a Conservative leadership race the Conservative leader should want to know the details. And while Trudeau might now be accused of politicising the issue of national security, his testimony before the commission also challenged Poilievre toface up to one of the very real challenges of this moment.

Canada and the new global disorder

Thosechallengesseem unlikely to disappear magically when Trudeau leaves office. And even if it'sunwise to try to predict how the next nine years will unfold, it seems prudent to plan for further uncertainty.

Adam Chapnick, a defence and foreign policy scholar at the Royal Military College of Canada, suggests the challenges of this era might be viewed through two possible frames.

On the one hand, he suggested, it may be that there is simply less respect for international norms and institutions and a greater willingness on the part of somepowers to run roughshod over mid-sized countries.

On the other, he added, it may be that Canada's place in the world has diminished to the point where "more powerful countries with different interests than ours no longer take us seriously enough to fear that running roughshod over us would constitute a violation of any international norm."

There may be some truth to both ways of looking at the situation. Either way, the current state of affairs would seem to demand more from Canada not onlybetter safeguards for Canadian institutions and citizensbut also more robust contributions to theworld at large and the maintenance ofstrong alliances.

All the while, of course, the consequences of climate change will continue to bear down likely leading to new migration and refugee crises.

The world beyond ourshores has become harder for usto view as a secondary concern. The problems posed by that world have become trickier to navigate.

It all demands more of Canada's leaders starting with theability to view classified information. And that givesfederal party leaders much more to discuss whenever they next gather on a stage to debate foreign policy.