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Chinese electric cars are coming to Canada, but you can't have one yet: Don Pittis

Report after report says Chinese electric car technology may be on its way to world domination. Unless North American carmakers pull up their socks, it could be the car wars of the 1970s and 80s all over again.

North American producers must keep technology up and prices down to stay competitive

A Chinese-made electric car, the BYD E6, is expected to be operating on Montreal streets in the first few months of 2019 as part of an electric taxi service. (e-Taxi)

The Chinese are coming.After years of predictions that made-in-China electric-car technology was poised to dominate the global market, the country's battery-powered carswill be driving on Canadian streets in a few months' time.

To anyone already shopping for an electric vehicle, it's not a surprise that consumers can't easily opt for oneas their next family car.

Despite attempts by various levels of governmentto encourage us to go electric and a sharp rise in annual sales, even familiar brands of battery-powered vehicles, such as TeslaandNissanLeaf,and plug-in hybrids, like ToyotaPriusand Chevy Volt, can't seem to keep up with demand.

But that's not the reason you won't be able to get your hands on a carbuilt by Chinese automaker BYD the company best known in investment circles for its famous North American shareholder, Warren Buffet, who, along withhis Berkshire Hathaway holding company, is BYD'sbiggest private-sector investor.

It's because the car in questionthe BYDE6, pictured aboveis currently being adapted to Canadian safety and charging standards.

But a fleet of E6sshould be operating as taxis in Montreal in the new year,according to MartinArchambault, of the Quebec Electric Vehicle Association (AVEQ).

"They're starting a new electric-car taxi company," saidArchambault. "Only using BYD cars."

While we have yet to see its vehicleson North American lots, China is on its way to becoming the Detroit of the battery-powered automobile industry,according to engineer and electric car expert MatthewKlippenstein.

In addition to supplying its own enormous domestic market, Chinese electric cars are about to spread around the world.

And just asNorth American carmakers were caught unprepared,losingout to Japanese and European brands when the oil crisis of the 1970s led arush tosmaller, cheaper cars, Klippenstein says there is a danger of history repeating itself with electrics.

Cheap forever

"Americanmanufacturersgot used to making big, huge boats," he said."They thought oil was going to be cheap forever."

Japanese car companies in particularincluding Honda, Toyota and Nissanfilled that gap. And despite cars that initially suffered from what Klippenstein calls "horrendous" quality defects, those errorswere quickly overcome.

"They got a foothold, they got a loyal customer base,and grew from there," he said.

U.S. Billionaire Warren Buffett and the holding company he runs, Berkshire Hathaway, are the largest private shareholders in BYD. (Rick Wilking/Reuters)

The quality of some Chinese-produced batteries has been roundly criticized in recent years. And Klippenstein saysthe safety standards of manyChinese-made cars may not yet be up to European and North American standards.

Still, their lower costhas already given them an advantage in developingmarkets, including Indonesia and Brazil, he says, at price levels where North American and European manufacturers have trouble competing.

One of those priceadvantages comes from the factthat North American carmakerspayfor the cost of theirresearch based on much smaller sales, whereas China can spread that cost over an enormous volume of domestic sales.

Canadians may right now scoff at Chinese manufacturing qualitybut we also scoffed at the quality of the first Korean car sold in this country: the Pony.

That was quick to change as Hyundai proved itself byimprovingquality while keeping costslow.And older Canadians will remember a time when "Made in Japan"was not the recommendation it often is today.

Payback time

Price, of course, is an important consideration.

Even though most calculations show that an electric vehicle's lower running costs electricity being cheaper than gas, and the maintenance less costly pays back the higher purchase price within four years,the price ofNorth American electric cars has so far been a barrier to sales.

You may already be driving a car containing Chinese technology without even realizing it, according to David Adams, president of theGlobal Automakers of Canada, an industry group that represents car brands outside the Detroit Three.

"That's what's happening with a lot of the Volvos that are being made in China right now and being put into the Canadian market," said Adams.

Canadians may already be driving a Chinese car: The owner of the famously safe Swedish brand Volvo is China's Geely. And Volvo has promised to make electric versions of all its cars by as soon as next year. (Mark Blinch/Reuters)

Volvo, the Swedish brand that is widely known for its safety, has beenownedbyChinese car companyGeelysince 2010. To maintain quality in the luxury marque, Geely is using Korean-designed LG batteries made in China.

Volvo has promised to offer electric versions of all its cars by 2019.And as it moves toward that target,its best practiceswill be shared by its Chinese parent.

So long as North American-made electric vehicleprices stay high, the six per cent tariff on imported electric cars from China will be manageable,if they can keep their costs down.

Expanding Chinese footprint

Ted Dowling, BYD'svice-president for Canada, says he can't talk about when his company's cars will be available to the public in this country.

But BYDis expanding its footprint here. The company already has contracts to sell its all-electric buses in several places in Canada, including to the Toronto Transit Commission and to a Vancouver-based sightseeing operation.

The TTCdeal is still on despite the change in government at Queen's Park, Dowling says.And plans for a Canadianassembly facilityare underway, he says, but he can't say where yet.

As for the BYD vehicles headingto Montreal, Dowling calls it "the best-sellingelectric taxi in the world."

The vehicle's battery packshould last a full day of Montreal driving, he says, and while the purchase price is high, as with other vehicles made for use as taxis, maintenance costs will be much lower.

Plus, Dowlingnotes, the payback rate for heavily used electricvehicles including taxis, buses and trucks is much faster than for consumer cars simply because they are on the road for somany hours a day.

And his thoughts onthe quality ofChinese-builtcars? He says he'sdriven them,they're good and hecan't wait until they reach the Canadian consumer market.

"If you look at the new cars that BYD is building now, they're just as good as anything else that's on the road today," saidDowling. "I want to drive one here."

But, of course, that's what you'd expect him to say.


Follow Don Pittison Twitter: @don_pittis