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Federal Reserve remains patient about next U.S. rate hike

The U.S. Federal Reserve has reiterated its pledge to be patient and hold off on raising interest rates from the record low levels theyve been at for the last six years.

Market watchers think Fed's next move will be mid-year or later

The Federal Reserve ended 2014 with a pledge to be 'patient' in raising interest rates from record lows and it reiterated that language today. (Cliff Owen/Associated Press)

The U.S. Federal Reserve has reiterated its pledge to be patient and hold off on raising interest rates from the record low levels theyve been at for the last six years.

"Based on its current assessment, the [Fed]judges that it can be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy," said astatement released Wednesday afternoon bychair Janet Yellen and her colleagues. Itcontained no hint of a big change in Fed policy, but there was an added note of concern about low inflation.

In thestatement, the Fed notedthat inflation remains well below its twoper cent target and says the factors holding down inflation have intensified since its last meeting in December.

"The change in wording on inflation is significant," said David Jones, chief economist at DMJ Advisors. "Given their concern about inflation being as low it is, it is more of a question of a hike at mid-year or the third quarter rather than one coming any earlier than that."

Inflation has stayed low in part due totheplunge in energy prices and a steadily strengthening American dollar.

The Fed forecasts thatU.S. inflation will likely decline further before starting to rise gradually.

Itsstatement also noted that the pace ofU.S. economic growth was solid. That suggests that the Fed is still on track to raise its key interest rate later thisyear.

U.S. stocks fell sharply on that. Both the Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 fell more than oneper cent.

Rate hikes not expected til mid-year or later

The U.S. federal funds rate remains at the zero to 0.25 per cent target range. Many market watchers expect the Fed to begin hiking its key rate around mid-year. But some economists have recently pushed back their estimates of when the Fed will next move to later 2015 or even into 2016.

Several other central banks, including thosein Canadaandthe EU, have either cut rates or announced stimulus programs in recent weeks.

"Markets have been gradually losing confidence in the prospects forhigher U.S. policy rates this year, with short-rate futures scarcely pricing in a single [quarter of a percentage point] rate hike by the end ofthis year," said a commentary from RBC Capital Markets, issued before the Fed announcement.

With files from The Associated Press