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Job market recovery from COVID-19 slows in October, with only 84,000 new jobs

Canada's job market added 84,000 new jobs in October, a better figure than expected but one that means the economy still has more than 600,000 fewer paid workers today than it did in February, before COVID-19 struck.

1.8 million people are jobless, and more than 400,000 are working less than half what they normally do

A person wearing a mask walks by storefronts, including one that displays a sign that says, 'CEBA won't save us.'
Some 1.8 million Canadians are officially unemployed as of the end of October, a figure that is more than 600,000 higher than it was before the pandemic struck. (Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press)

Canada's job market added 84,000 new jobs in October, a better figure than expected but one that means the economy still has more than 600,000 fewer paid workers today than it did in February, before COVID-19 struck.

That's the lowest monthly jobs number since the recovery started in May, but slightly better than the 75,000 jobs that economists, on average, were expecting.

Statistics Canada reported Friday that most sectors of the economy added jobs, except the accommodation and food services industry, which shed another 48,000 mostly in Quebec, because that province was the first to reimpose lockdown measures onthe restaurant industry during the month. "Further declines are likely to follow with similar restrictions also imposed elsewhere (including in Toronto and Ottawa) since then," Royal Bank economist Nathan Janzen noted.

WATCH | COVID-19 surge forces new lockdown in parts of Quebec:

COVID-19 surge forces new lockdown in parts of Quebec

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With surging COVID-19 cases, three areas of Quebec, including Montreal and Quebec City, will become "red zones" on Thursday for 28 days, meaning bars and theatres will close and restaurants will revert to take-out only.

Five provinces posted job gains Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta, Newfoundland and Labrador, and Prince Edward Island while the job market was unchanged in the rest.

Under normal circumstances, a gain of 84,000 jobs would be a strong showing, but the monthly figure comes as the economy is trying to recover from the threemillion jobs lost in the first two months of the pandemic. Economist SriThanabalasingamwith TD Bank described the October job numbers as "the first bump on the road to recovery for Canada's labour market ...What was leaps and bounds early on, are now baby steps."

The data agency said the jobless rate held steady at 8.9 per cent asthere are 1.8 million Canadians who are officially classified as unemployed which means they would like to have a job, but can't find one, a definition that excludes retired people, many students, and stay-at-home parents.

The jobless rate, meanwhile, was 5.6 per cent in February.

An additional540,000 people wanted a job during the month but didn't look for one, which means they don't meet the data agency's requirement to be considered officially unemployed. If those people were included in the numbers, Canada's jobless rate would leap to11.3 per cent.

The 1.8 million officially unemployedfigure compares with the less than 1.2 million who were jobless in February.

More than one quarter of those deemed to be officially unemployedhave been jobless for at least sixmonths. The increase in that group of so-called "long-term unemployed" people is "by far the sharpest recorded" since 1976 when comparable record-keeping began, Statistics Canada said.

The ratio of Canadians who have been jobless for six months or more has spiked at the sharpest pace ever. (Scott Galley/CBC)

On top of the number of people still jobless, Statistics Canadasaidthere are an additional433,000 people who have a job, but are working less than half the amount they normally dobecause of the pandemic.

And almost one quarter of part-time workers 826,000 people said that they would rather have full-time work, but can't find it.

"The nicely paved road to recovery is a thing of the past. The path forward is riddled with potholes and speed bumps," Thanabalasingam said. "Buckle up for a bumpy ride."

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