B.C. ports are frozen amid a labour dispute. What does this mean for Canadians?

A major trade artery was shut down on Monday when employers locked out more than 700 foremen at ports across British Columbia, sparking fears across the country for Canada's supply chain.

With a partial closure already affecting two terminals at the Port of Montreal due to a separate labour dispute, this new stoppage could see more shipping backlogs for businesses as the window closes on importing goods for the holiday season.

The B.C. Maritime Employers Association (BCMEA) said it hadmade the "difficult decision" to lock out workers on Monday afternoon, after the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Local 514 issued a 72-hour strike notice for limited job action, which was set to begin at 8 a.m. PT on Monday.

The lockout doesn't apply to grain or cruise operations.

The union said its limited action consisted of an overtime ban and a refusal to implement tech changes on Monday if an agreement wasn't reached. It previously accused BCMEA of "acting recklessly" by threatening the lockout.

Canada's West Coast is its main trade portal for shipping goods by sea.

"Our West Coast ports handle $800 million worth of cargo every single day," Pascal Chan, senior director of transportation, infrastructure and construction at the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, told CBC News. "That accounts for something like 25 per cent of the goods flowing through the country."

What happens next

When the functioning of a major port is impacted, some ships that were supposed to bring goods to that port end up anchored outside it, waiting for the strike to end. This is often the case for ships containing perishable food products, said Fraser Johnson, a professor of operations management at the Ivey Business School at Western University in London, Ont.

But most ships are rerouted which in this case means more goods intended for Canada being rerouted to U.S. ports on the West Coast, upping the end cost for Canadian businesses.

Freight rates have already increased threefold over the last year due to a number of factors, including problems in the Suez Canal and a drought in the Panama Canal, Johnson said.

The B.C. ports being closed down "affects virtually everything," he said, ranging from food and retail goods for the holiday season to commodities that are exported, such aslumber, coal and automobiles.

"The general rule of thumb is that for every day that the port is shut down, it takes a week to be able to recover," Johnsonsaid.

In Montreal, two terminals are also currently closed after longshore workers went on strike last week, paralyzing 40 per cent of total container capacity at Canada's second-largest port. The Montreal Port Authority stated last Thursday that some ships already on their way to Montreal had turned back to other ports.

The union's main requestin B.C. is protections for job security amid increasing automation at the ports. In Montreal, work-life balance is one of the key points at stake for striking workers.

How consumers are impacted

The average Canadian won't see shortages on their grocery shelves or in retail stores in the short term, Johnson said. But if the labour dispute stretches on for several weeks, those impacts could trickle down as costs add up.

"It might not be Day 1, but ... when you start to see millions and millions of dollars in trade lost every single day, absolutely, Canadians are going to feel that," Chan, of the chamber of commerce, said.

Johnson said small- and medium-sized businesses will likely feel the impact firstbecause they don't have as much flexibilityin terms of contracts, meaningincreased costs and delays when shipment plans change.

For distributors that serve multiple retailers, a big enough delay can mean they can'tfulfiltheir contractual obligations, potentially leading to penalties, according to Christina Santini, director of national affairs at the Canadian Federation of Independent Business(CFIB), a lobby group.In 2023, after a 13-day strike at B.C. ports, manufacturers that relied on glass imports also reported to CFIB that they weren't able to produce goods on their usual timeline.

Those scenarios aren't kicking in yet, Santini acknowledged. But while many CFIB members used to report having three to sixmonths of inventory in advance, she said more of itsmembers now say that they're only stocked two weeks ahead.According to a Friday statement from the Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters, the 2023 strike costmanufacturers an average of $207,000 per day.

"It all comes down to how long the strikes last and what's the backlog," Santinisaid. "Some businesses are going to be more resilient than others."

When goods aren't flowing through ports, that includes exports. Last year's B.C. ports strike saw B.C.exports fall 23 per cent in July 2023, hitting their lowest point since the pandemic, Chan said.

Fertilizer Canada, which represents Canadian producers and distributors of fertilizers, warned in a statement on Friday that a shutdown of the B.C. ports would cost the industry $9.7 million per dayin lost sales revenue of potash fertilizer, of whichCanada is the world's largest producer.

WATCH | Lockout move is employers' strategy to push for federal intervention, professor says:

Foremen set to be locked out amid contract dispute at B.C. ports

3 days ago

Duration 2:49

Hundreds of foremen in Vancouver and Port Rupert were locked out by their employer, the B.C. Maritime Employers' Association, on Monday afternoon, with the employer calling it a "defensive action" after port workers served 72 hours strike notice. The union says the BCMEA is overreacting.

Labour Minister Steven MacKinnon said in a Saturday post on X that "federal mediators are on site, ready to assist the parties," but that it is the "responsibility" of the employers and the union to reach an agreement.

"Businesses, workers and farmers are counting on them to get a deal," he said.

The labour disputes at Canada's ports are just the latest in a string of supply chain disruptions, including a four-day strike at grain terminals in September and a temporary shuttering of Canada's two biggest railways in the summer due to a rail strike.

Experts are concerned these disruptions could damage Canada's reputation in international trade.

"Other partners globally have seen Canada as a reliable partner for conducting business," saidHossein Piri, assistant professor with the Haskayne School of Business at the University of Calgary.

"So with continuous threats for supply chain in Canada, it can tarnish our reputation globally, and recovering that is not easy."