Surging U.S. deficit a warning for Canadians wanting tax cuts: Don Pittis

According to a new Senate report, what Canada needs is for its rich people to get richer.

Of coursethat's not what it says in so many words, but in calling on the Canadian government to follow the U.S. in cutting corporatetaxes, that is effectively what it is asking for.

Perhapsit'ssimply amatter of bad timing, but the Senate banking committee report titled Canada: Still Open for Business?, obviously in the works for a while, has hit the media just as two serious flaws in the U.S. tax-cutting strategy made headlines in the U.S.

Of the six recommendations listed in the report, five are hard to argue with in principle.

Act immediately

Whether a three-year-long royal commission is the way to go about it, a study of Canada's taxation system, looking for efficiencies and examining its competitiveness, is a reasonablepart ofgovernment housekeeping to keep the country'srevenue policy current.

But recommendationNo. 2, the one that has attracted the headlines, could turn out to bemore controversial.

At a question-and-answer session inToronto yesterday, Finance Minister Bill Morneau said the government is already examining ways of using tax reform to encourageCanadian businesses to invest in Canada rather than chasing lower taxes south of the border.

"What we're trying to achieve is to make sure that Canadian businesses have the opportunity to invest in a way that is competitive with their potential investments in the United States," Morneausaid.

"We have to think about how we get there."

The U.S. tax-cut advantage

Last week, George Athanassakos, a professor at Western University's Ivey Business School, wrote a column that blamed high taxes, regulations and red tape what he called the "Trudeau Effect" for Canada's lagging stock prices.

His timing was inopportune. The same day his column came out, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 830 points, a decline of more than three per cent, and New York's Nasdaqindex was off fourper cent.

Clearly, the "Trudeau Effect" was heading south.

Loand behold, Toronto's stock market index was down as well, but by a lot less. Widespread analysis from the U.S. blamed the Dow and Nasdaq'sprecipitous decline on theirprecipitous rise following the U.S. tax cuts. Companies had beentaking their tax gains and buying back their own stock, creating what may have been excessive exuberance and a temporary spike in prices.

In what some described as a sugar high, the U.S. economy and stocks were surging for the wrong reasons. Fear of atrade war with China meant buyers were stocking up on imports before losing access. Meanwhile the tax cuts, which profited stocks and their shareholders when they were introduced,had done much less to stimulate productive investmentand the more lasting benefits that come with it.

Hot, but maybe too hot

And there were other consequences of using stimulus to push an alreadystrong economy into overdrive.

Critics argued the tax cuts were little more than a way of transferring money from government coffers to wealthy, stock-owningAmericans.

Au contraire, saidsupporters, cutting taxes for the rich would end up generating more revenue in the long run.

But a second story this week shot holes in that argument. The U.S. deficit has soared under Trump, up 17 per centto the highest level since 2012, whenthe U.S. was still suffering the effects ofthe Great Recession.

The way out of that problem? According toU.S. Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell, it'sto chop spending on social programs that disproportionatelybenefit the poor such asMedicare, Medicaid and Social Security.

Many critics, including ourown foreign affairs minister, ChrystiaFreeland,have warned that world governments arebeing taken over by the rich and powerful. And there is plenty of evidence that making the rich richer and the poor poorer is not in the long-term benefit of Canadians or Canadian business.

Successful businesses need customers who are rich enough to buy their products. Successful businesses need a highly educated, healthy population, where everyone feels like a valued member of society, capable of participating in and helping to create the next stage ofa dynamic economy.

While Morneauthinks about how to keep Canadian business investment at home,he will no doubt be considering whether the U.S. game plan is ultimately the best one. He may decide that a more moderate strategy, one that doesn't make therich richer and thepoor poorer, will ultimately be better for Canadian business in the long term.

Follow Don on Twitter @don_pittis