Brace yourselves southern Alberta is headed for a deep freeze. Here's why - Action News
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Brace yourselves southern Alberta is headed for a deep freeze. Here's why

Bitterly cold Arctic air is set to grip southern Alberta in the coming days, bringing the coldest temperatures to the region so far this winter season.

Bitterly cold Arctic air is set to grip the region in the coming days

The coldest temperatures are expected early to mid-next week, before milder Pacific air likely flows back into the region in time for Christmas. (Leslie Kramer/CBC)

Bitterly cold Arctic air is set to grip southern Alberta in the coming days, bringing the coldest temperatures to the region so far this winter season.

The spell of extreme cold will be accompanied by dangerously low wind chills at times, with some overnight low temperature records potentially falling across parts of Alberta during the first half of next week.

So what is causing it?

Rivers of fast-moving, upper-level winds called jet streams encircle the planet, which contain a series of waves consisting of "ridges"and "troughs"that interact with each other, influencing our weather.

In this case, the strengthening of an upper ridge punching into the high Arctic north of Alaska will cause downstream troughing to develop over the heart of North America, enabling a straight shot for air normally hovering over the dark, frozen Arctic to plunge southward into Alberta and beyond.

Temperatures across much of western Canada and parts of the northern United Stateswill likely be the coldest relative to normal anywhere on Earth for a few days.

Temperatures plummet

In Calgary, temperatures will plummet throughout Saturday following the passage of a cold front that will also be accompanied by at least some accumulating snowfall during the day.

The coldest temperatures will come early to mid-next week, with overnight lows into the -30sand daytime highs in the -20s with any wind likely pushing us into extreme cold warning territory.

A man dances on a snow-swept, prairie landscape at dusk. He appears to be ringed by frozen mist as he dispenses water from a bottle all around him in icy cold weather.
It will be cold enough next week for some fun experiments, with Arctic air expected to arrive in southern Alberta. (Submitted by Kyle Brittain)

In Alberta, extreme cold warnings are issued by Environment and Climate Change Canada when the temperature or windchill value reaches -40or colder for at least two hours.

When temperatures are very cold, it doesn't take much wind to bring on extreme wind chill values. For instance, at -30 C, it only takes a 15km/h wind to get a windchill value of -41.

Windchill values of -40can cause exposed skin to freeze in five to ten minutes or less, so it is certainly advisable to cover all exposed skin if needing to head outdoors, and dress in many layers of warm clothing with a wind-resistant outer layer.

The coldest overnight low temperature for Calgary could come on Tuesday, Dec.20.

The existing low temperature record for that date in the city is -35 C, and goes back to 1921, so that will be the number to beat.

The extreme cold looks to ease later in the work week, as milder Pacific air likely flows back into the region, bringing temperatures to near or above normal values by Christmas.

The 'La Nia' effect

The cold snap comes amid background "La Nia" conditions that are now occurring for the third Northern Hemisphere winter in a row, in the first "triple-dip" La Nia to occur this century.

A La Nia occurs when sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific are colder than normal, influencing upper air patterns around the world.

For us in western Canada, La Nia conditions typically bring colder and wetter winters than average, and this winter is likely no exception. While periods of above average temperatures are likely, this may very well not be last spell of extreme cold weather before spring.