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Campaign promises: Checking on fact, fiction and everything in between in the lead-up to Manitoba election

From easily debunked to muddied enough to be unverifiable, the CBC Manitoba election fact checking team sifted through the details of close to 100 announcements since beginning of the 2019 campaign period.

CBC Manitoba's fact checking team has sifted through close to 100 political announcements over 4 weeks

Clockwise from top left: NDP Leader Wab Kinew, PC Leader Brian Pallister, Green Leader James Beddome, and Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont. (CBC/The Canadian Press)

In the weeks sincethe start of the 42nd Manitoba general election, political parties have been busy canvassing neighbourhoods province-wide, promoting their platforms and attempting to sway voters with promises of additional services, tax cuts and more money on the kitchen table.

The CBC's fact checking team has been keeping close track of those announcements about 100 in total since the campaign officially began on Aug. 12.

Some of the promises bordered on the puzzling, like when NDP Leader Wab Kinew promised two-hour free parking at hospitals, even though the province doesn't have jurisdiction over many of the parking spots in these areas.

Otherpromises seemed unlikely given historic trends, such as the Progressive Conservative pledge to create 40,000 new private-sector jobs over four years.The NDP made a similar claim a few days later, but this time upped the ante to 50,000 jobs.

Over the course of a series of back-and-forths with party officials, it was discovered that those proposed jobs were not what they seemed.

Participants in the Aug. 28 Manitoba leaders' debate, from left: Dougald Lamont, Brian Pallister, Wab Kinew and James Beddome. (Mike Fazio/CBC)

The general public could be forgiven for understanding a "job" to mean well, a full-time job for a single person over a period of time.

But in the context of these announcements, parties were actually talking about "job-years"an economic measure where a single person holding a job forfive years would count as five unique jobs.

At timesstatements were easily debunked, such as claims by the NDP that emergency room wait times are getting worse (if you cherry-pick recent months, they have been getting worse, but the overall picture shows an improvement).

Other statements, however, are harder to prove or disprove.

Take, for example, the NDP claims thatthere are 500 fewer nurses working in the province since the PCs took power.

The Canadian Institute for Health Information reported this figure in June, but then later clarified itlacked context. Meanwhile, the WRHA claimed its numbers showed a slight increase in nursing staff (but that didn't count staffing in other regional health authorities), then add to thatthe nurses union sayingits own reporting shows a drop in registered members.

Which version of the facts is the correct one?

Misleading logic games

One of the most fascinating statements came from PC Leader Brian Pallister, whosaid during the televised leaders debate that this year alone, his government was "investing more in health care than the NDP government ever did" in a single year.

While this claim ismeasurable and technicallytrue health spending for this year is budgeted at $6.65 billion, an amount that is over $400 million more thanthe NDP ever spent it is by design misleading and disingenuous.

Becauseinflation andcost of living continuously increase, all governments can generallylay claim to spending more than their predecessors.

It's worth noting that if the PCs' health spending was indexed to inflation, it would show lower spending increases than under the NDP.

Manitoba NDP Leader Wab Kinew meets with his supporters after an election announcement at Ecole Riviere Rouge. (Ian Froese/CBC)

A dearth of information makes fact-checking difficult as a reporter. On the flip side, if you're a political party,giving away too much information can make you a target.

The NDP were among the first out of the gate with a fully costed platform. The result: the PCs used this to poke holes and relentlessly ridicule their proposed fiscal positionthroughout the campaign. The PCs, on the other hand, declined to release any costed budget details until the very end.

Keeping up with all the claims made on the campaign trail requires an army of researchers and reporters working round the clock, and there's no doubt some dubious statements or questionable promises made their way to the public without getting the scrutiny they deserved.

Ultimately, an informed public is the key to a democracy that functions well and that's a responsibility we all shoulder.

The 42nd general election will be held on Tuesday, Sept.10, 2019.


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