How did your Manitoba neighbours vote in the 2011 provincial election? - Action News
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How did your Manitoba neighbours vote in the 2011 provincial election?

CBC News mapped the election results of every polling station in each of the 57 constituencies for the 2011 provincial election. Take a look and learn how parties use this information in their war rooms.

Party war rooms use historic voting data to plan campaign strategies on the ground

Navigatethe interactive map to see how your neighbours voted in the 2011 provincial elections. Click to see theresultsforeachvoting area in your constituency.

On mobile? Want a larger view?See our interactive polling map here

CBC News mapped the election results of every polling station ineach of the 57 constituencies in the 2011 provincial election information political parties track closely so they can make best use of their campaign resources.

The results show there was little consensus amongresidents in theconstituenciesofKirkfield Park, River East and Dawson Trail as support in those neighbourhoods followedno clear pattern.

In the constituencies of Morden-Winkler, Steinbach, Morris and Lakeside, the Progressive Conservative party swept every voting area. The NDPposted perfect scores in terms of voting-area victories in Minto,Wolseley,TyndallPark, St.Boniface, St. Johns andConcordia.

Campaign war rooms use info to target voters

Well-organized parties make use of historic polling station results to help customize campaign strategies in each constituency, a critical approach given limited time and resources, said political scientistRaymondHbert, a professor emeritus at St. Boniface University.
Political scientist Raymond Hbert says the NDP will try to defend the neighbourhoods it won in 2011. (CBC News)

"In the past, they didn't have computers;they did this by hand. They would have maps, huge wall maps, where they would track the results on elections, and they would keep those mapswith the definitive resultsand compare them over time," Hbert said.

Hbertbelieves givenrecent polling that suggests the Progressive Conservatives currently have a 14 percentage pointleadover the next party, leader Brian Pallister's troops will be on the offensive in previously NDP-held neighbourhoodssuch asKirkfield Park, won by the New Democrats by only 21 votes in 2011.

"If I were the Tory candidate, I wouldn't worry too much about the voting areas that were in blue last time. I would try to reach out to the other voting areas that were taken by the NDP," he said.

In contrast, he believes the NDP will optfor a defensive strategy, essentially trying to simply hold on to the voting areas secured in 2011.

Liberal support in north Winnipeg

Although during the last electionthe ManitobaLiberal Party only took one seat RiverHeights,won by John Gerrard their candidate for Tyndall Parkreceived the most votes in just over a third of ballot boxes, all in the northwestern part of the constituency.

Hbert said this pattern of support is relatedto theLiberal support traditionally seen in the Winnipeg North federal riding.

"I think partly it's the Kevin Lamoureux effect, because he was very strong in those areas for a long time, and he's the sitting [Liberal] MP," he said. "Probably we're looking at the personality, the effect of a personality which seems to be stronger in that area than in others."

Many NDP heavy hitters were in closest races

The Manitoba NDP won 37 of the 57 seats in 2011, while the Progressive Conservatives with then leader HughMcFadyenat the helm took 19 seats, leavingthe Manitoba Liberal Party with one seat.

Of the top 10 closest races in 2011, eight were won by NDP candidates, many of whom went on to hold cabinet positions within the lastSelingergovernment. In contrast, of the top 10 constituencies with the largest victory margins, eight were secured by PC candidates.


Elections Manitoba made the voting area digital boundary files available to CBC News on the condition that this article beaccompanied by the following disclaimers:

  1. The voting area boundaries and associated maps relate only to the 40th general election of October 2011. Data for these maps was current to October 2011. All information was believed to be accurate at the time, but is not guaranteed to be without error.
  2. Voting area boundaries and associated maps are prepared for internal operational purposes by Elections Manitoba.
  3. Voting area boundaries for subsequent and previous elections will differ from those displayed here. As such, these voting area maps cannot be used for comparative purposes with other elections.
  4. Electoral division boundaries are reviewed every 10 years under Manitoba's Electoral Divisions Act. The current boundaries were set in 2008 by the Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission.
  5. Not all voting areas relate to a geographical location on the map. Votes cast using the following voting methods are not related to a location on the map: advance, homebound, absentee, personal security and institutional. For that reason, map-based results will not tally with the total number of votes cast within an electoral division.

Notes and methodology:

  • Results do not include votes cast throughadvance, homebound, absentee, personal security and institutional voting, as those results are not associated with specific voting areas.
  • Voting arearesults for the 2011 Manitoba provincial elections were provided by Elections Manitoba.
  • Analysis and calculations performed by Jacques Marcoux, CBC News.