Veteran politicians 'caught in a Liberal riptide'

The Liberal torrent that washed across Canada isgoing to force the NDP to take a long, hard look in the mirror today, says a Winnipeg political analyst.

"If I was a New Democrat this morning I think I would be looking at this as a massively blown opportunity," saidCurtis Brown, vice-president of Probe Research. "You think back to the beginning of the campaign, they had a slight lead in the polls and they were looking like they were in pretty good shape.

"I think they just failed to make any kind of persuasive case about why they should be government [and] I think there's going to be some discussion of ThomasMulcair'sleadership."

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In 2011, theNDP were the beneficiaries of disgruntled voterslooking for an alternative but "this time they kind of just got caught in a Liberal riptide and many experienced and competent MPs across the country, including right here in Winnipeg, ended up getting sucked into it," Brown said.

One of those was the NDP's Pat Martin, who was ousted from the Winnipeg Centre riding that he held since 1997. LiberalRobert-FalconOuellette, a rookie candidate who came in third a year ago in Winnipeg's mayoral race, received 18,471 votes compared to Martin's 9,490.

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The NDP went into Monday's general election as theOfficial Opposition to the governing Conservative Party, with 103 seats to 166 seats, respectively.

The Liberals were far behind with34 seats. If any party was poised to challenge the Conservativesit was the NDP, but rather thanmoving forward, they fell far back.

Instead, the Liberals surged forward, winning150 more seats.

"This has never happened in federal politics in Canada before, where the third party in Parliament goes and wins a majority government," said Brown. "That's remarkable, from where they were in 2011 to where they are now."

He believes the results would have been different for the NDPif the late Jack Layton was still leading the party.

"People connected with Jack Layton in the same way that I think they connected with Justin Trudeau," Brown said. "I think people never had that connection with Thomas Mulcair."

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