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Officials predict 'normal' start to Yukon wildfire season

Experts have been using up-to-the-minute satellite mapping and remote sensing technologies to get an understanding of what to expect this fire season.

Technology and weather forecasts help scientists know what to expect this summer

Battling a forest fire in Yukon last summer. The Yukon government's chief meteorologist says they can get a pretty good idea of what to expect this summer, thanks to technology and weather predictions. (Yukon Wildland Fire Management)

Asking what the wildfire season is going to be like this summer in Yukon oftengarners the same response from officials: "It all depends."

The Yukon government's chief meteorologist says they can get a pretty good idea of what lies ahead, thanks to technology and weather predictions.

And this year, they're not predicting anything unusual when it comes to wildfires.

"In terms of fire conditions, our snow has been melting and disappearing in the valley bottoms, basically right around the long-term average for the last 15 years," said chief meteorologist Mike Smith.

"That dictates when we might start to see fires for the year, and the best we can say there is, 'normal.'"

Yukon's chief meteorologist Mike Smith says snow melt has been average this year. 'That dictates when we might start to see fires for the year, and the best we can say there is, 'normal.'' (Mike Rudyk CBC)

Predicting wildfires can beas much an art as it is a science.

But officials have a number of tools to help inform their predictions.They have been using up-to-the-minute satellite mapping and remote sensing technologies to get an understanding of what to expect this fire season.

Getting out in the field and seeing what conditions are like on the ground can also help paint a more accurate picture.

Smith says looking at moisture content in the ground is useful.

"Which is how much moisture is in the deep forest floor layers, as well as the large, dead, downed trees and that can give us an indication for large or hard to extinguish fires," he said.

But officials say what they can't predict is the human factor. Yukon Wildland Fire Management say many wildfires arestill caused by people.

Right now, there are four active wildfires in Yukon.

Last year, there were 115 wildfires in Yukonthat burned a total of 471,000 hectares of forest.

Rick Janowicz, a hydrologist with the Yukon government, has been looking at the snow pack and flood risk around the territory. (Mike Rudyk CBC)

Flooding and ice jams

Emergency officials have also been looking at flooding risk this spring.

Rick Janowicz, a hydrologist for the Yukon government, says Dawson City and Old Crow are susceptible to river ice-jams and flooding.

Hesaysthere shouldn't be any flooding issues in Dawson this year, but officialsare keeping a close eye on Old Crow.

"The snow pack is a little bit greater than normal also in the Porcupine Basin, so we will be monitoring break up conditions,"Janowiczsaid.

There is still ice on the Porcupine River at Old Crow this week. (Frances Ross)