With NDP momentum building, Horwath looks to conquer a Liberal stronghold in Ottawa

Asked about the NDP's chances in the Ottawa area early Sunday morning, Andrea Horwathjoked about the current absence of orange in eastern Ontario.

"Oshawa!" Horwathlaughed, when asked about the NDP's most eastern representative. "She's our eastern toehold, Jennifer French of Oshawa. We're going to change that."

It was an optimistic forecast, given the reality that Ottawa hasn't had a New Democrat MPP for 23 years.

• Poll Tracker| Follow the race to June 7

Horwathwas in Ottawa ostensiblyto announce the NDP's eastern Ontarioplatform. In truth, it was a repeat of the party's main platform improve long-term care, end hallway medicine, stabilize gas priceswith nothing particularly eastern Ontario-centric about it.

The only exception was Horwath'scommitment to keep the Liberal promise to further extend the LRTnetwork into southern Ottawa, a $50-million pre-election announcement made last month.

"It gives me the opportunity to say this:there are things that the Liberals have done that we're going to stick with because they are things that we agree with," Horwath said. "But there are many, many things we don't agree with that need to be fixed."

It's not the first time that Horwathhas given her Liberal opponents some credit. It's a lesson partly learned, perhaps, from the NDP'srejection of a Liberal budget in 2014 that was widely considered to be NDP-friendly. That move triggered an election that ended with a Liberal majority.

This time, the NDPseem cognizant of the necessity to attract voters who may identify asLiberal, while continuing to espouse their left-of-centre policies.

On Sunday, Horwath said that while theLiberals struck a task force to investigate elder abuse innursing homes,the NDPwould widen the scope of the public inquiry. Where the Liberals are promising to cover drug and dental care for some, the NDP are vowing to create universal coverage.

There are some major differences in the platforms, of course. In particular, the NDPplan to pay for their promises by running deficits like the Liberals and, presumably, the PCs who have yet to release a costed platform and increasing taxes on corporations and on individuals making more than $220,000.

Their platform isn't free of issues, however, including the fact they'veaccounted for $700 million in reserves as revenue instead of an expense.

But the NDP'smessage that they offer everything the Liberals do without the baggagecouldresonate in a place like Ottawa, where the majority of ridings have been Liberal for years,and some for decades.

Ottawa Centre in play

The riding of Ottawa Centre, which includes the capital's downtown and Parliament Hill, is the NDP'sbest chance to pick up a seat. Candidate Joel Harden is working hard against thewell-knownLiberal incumbent, Yasir Naqvi, who was serving as the attorney general before the campaign began.

Provincially, the riding has been NDPfor 20 of its 50-year existence and was represented federally by the NDPfor 11 years before the Liberal sweep of Ontario in 2015.

So it's no surprise that Horwath's event was held in Ottawa Centre at the Abbotsford Seniors Centre, or that Harden was the one to introduce her.

Ottawa South NDP candidate Eleanor Fast also spoke at the campaign stop, and is being touted by party insiders as a possible breakthrough candidate. The riding, which was home toformer premier Dalton McGuintyand currently represented by John Fraser, has never had an New Democrat MPP.

In any other election, the prospect of Ottawa South turningorange would be far-fetched at best. But the most recent polling data suggest this election is far from over.

NDP on the upswing

Whatever the case, many voters remainundecided. They want change, but feeltorn about voting for the options available to them. It's what the polls are reporting, and it's what all the parties' volunteers saythey hear on the phones and on the doorstep.

It appears to be working to the NDP'sadvantage.

Just a couple of weeks ago, the Tories enjoyed a lead in the polls that many observers considered unbridgeable for the other parties.With 18 days to go until voting day, the PCs are still ahead, but the NDP are gaining.

The CBC's own poll tracker shows the PCs about eight points ahead of the NDP. But PC supports keep slipping, point by point, and New Democrats seems to be making up the ground.

That upswing in support could put ridings like Ottawa Centre in play. If it continues,expect to see Horwathback in downtown Ottawa before the campaign is over.