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Scientists recently checked up on Earth's 'vital signs.' So how are we doing?

A major new report on the state of climate change paints a distressing picture for planet Earth, but it also points to some signs of progress. Here are the key findings.

New report warns of 'climate disaster,' but also finds signs of progress. Here are the key points

Cows roam an area recently deforested in the Chico Mendes Extractive Reserve, Acre state, Brazil, Dec. 6, 2022.
Cows roam an area of the Amazon rainforest that's been recently deforested in Brazil. In recent years, the rate of deforestation has declined, which the lead author of a new report that checks up on Earth's 'vital signs' attributes to new conservationist leadership in Brazil. (Eraldo Peres/Associated Press)

Scientists have given the planet a check-up andall is not well.

A major new report on what the authors describe asthe world's "vital signs,"published Tuesday in the journal BioScience, presents a grim picture of where the planet is headed.

The assessment was prepared by some of the world's top climate scientists and builds on a previous analysis backed by more than 15,000 scientists.

Entitled "The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times,"the assessment found that 25 of the 35 of the measurements used to track the planet's climate risk, from ocean temperatures to tree cover loss, are at record levels.

These measures look at both how humans are changing the planet, and how the planet is responding.

"We are on the brink of an irreversible climate disaster," the authors wrote. "This is a global emergency beyond any doubt."

At the same time, the report also found some surprising signs of progress that experts say point to a path forward. And that's where we'll start.

Some environmental progress

Two charts in the report show signs of environmental progress.

The first looked at how much of the Amazon rainforest has been lost every year. In recent years, the rate of deforestation has declined.


William Ripple, lead author and professor at Oregon State University, calls the Amazon development "really important good news," which he attributes to new conservationist leadership in Brazil.

The rainforest stores an estimated 123 billion tonnes of carbon, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, roughly equivalent to four years of global emissions if it were to be released as CO2.

The other chartlooks at how muchenergy consumption can be attributed to renewable energy.

The production of renewables has surged, as the chart shows although the amount of oil, coal and gas also continues to climb. Climate change is driven primarily by the burning of fossil fuels.

"Solar and wind energy are increasing dramatically," Ripple said. "It's still many times lower than fossil fuel, but the trend is deep and upward and that is promising."

Emissions still climbing

Overall, however, we are emitting more greenhouse gases than ever, on both a global and individual level.

Prof. Sarah Burch, executive director of the Waterloo Climate Institute, saysshe sees a glimmer of hope in the face of these numbers.

Burch said even though fossil-fuel consumption hasn't levelled off or declined, it is slowing down and ultimately that could lead to a more clear shift in how we produce energy.

"That's just how things change," explained Burch, who was not involved with the report.

She warnsthat this doesn't mean we shouldn't be"more ambitious, more creative and more honest about our progress. But we are making progress."

Climate-relateddisasters

These next charts from the report illustrate how devastating climate-related disasters have been.

Wildfires and floods are on the rise aroundthe world, and the planet is experiencing more and more days of extreme heat.

A firefighter looks on as a hotel is aflame. Smoke fills the air. An orange hue fills the scene due to the fire.
The Maligne Lodge hotel is one of the structures that burned in Jasper, Alta., after a wildfire reached the townsite this July, resulting in $880 million in insured damages. Given the scale of fires in 2023, this year's wildfire season wasn't quite as bad, but it was still quietly devastating. (Name withheld)

"We're having these heat waves and floods and hurricanes and they're becoming more frequent and more intense and leaving trails of devastation worldwide," said Prof. Jillian Gregg, an ecologist at Oregon State University who also contributed to the report.

Canada has seen this first-hand, with the 2023 wildfire season smashing records, followed byanother quietly devastating year in 2024.

The increase in extreme weather, Ripple says, is exemplified by last month's Hurricane Helene, whichdevastated parts of Florida and North Carolina.

He pointed out that even Asheville, N.C., which had beencelebrated as a "climate haven" because of its temperate weather, wasn't safe from astorm like Helene, which wasmade more powerful more quickly by our warming oceans.

We're growing, we're eating

As these disasters play out, the world's population continues to grow, and we are producing and eating more livestock every year.

The ruminant livestock population, which includes animals such as cows, sheep and goats, is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions.

It is increasing at a pace of roughly 170,000 animals per day, according to the report.

While fossil fuels are the main driver of climate change, agricultural emissions, which include methane, are also a significant contributor.

According to Our World in Data's analysis of UN figures, an estimated 80 per cent of agricultural land on the planet is used for grazing and growing feed for livestock.

A negative feedback loop occurs as food production is then threatened by drought and other extreme weather events, strengthened and lengthened by climate change.

Funding the fuel

The last chart shows the subsidies provided to the fossil fuel industry, a dynamic experts say has, for years, delayed the transition to renewable energy.

Many international organizationshave called for an end to fossil fuel subsidies, and according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF),global subsidies surpassed $7 trillion US for the first timelast year, with Canada dolingout$2 billion in fossil fuel subsidies.

"It's not remotely a level playing field,"saidNaomi Oreskes, another co-author and a history of science professor atHarvard University.

"If we were to wipe out all subsidies all together, renewable energies wouldbeatthe pants off of fossil fuels."

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