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NORAD commander warns Canadian officials about the threat posed by hypersonic missiles

NORAD commander Gen. Glen VanHerckwarned top Canadian government and military leaders Tuesday about the threat hypersonic missile technology poses to North American security,sayingit's making it "very challenging" for him to carry out his mission.

Gen. Glen VanHerck says the emergence of hypersonic weapons is making his mission very challenging

In this photo taken from video released on Monday, Nov. 29, 2021 by the Russian Defence Ministry Press Service, The Admiral Gorshkov frigate of the Russian navy launches a Zircon hypersonic cruise missile in the White Sea. The launch was the latest in a series of tests of the Zircon, which is set to enter service next year. (Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP)

NORAD commander Gen. Glen VanHerckwarned top Canadian government and military leaders Tuesday about the threat hypersonic missile technology poses to North American security,sayingit's making it "very challenging" for him to carry out his mission.

VisitingCanada for the first time since taking command of the continental defence organizationlast year, VanHerckgave officials in Ottawa what he calleda "candid" risk assessment oneday after Russia said it had successfully testedanother of its hypersonic cruise missiles.

Hypersonic missilescan travel at more than five times the speed of sound and have vast ranges. Thetechnologycan bob and weave through the atmosphere and avoid interception en route to its target. Itsmanoeuvrability also makes it more difficult to track.

Most hypersonic vehicles can only deliver conventional warheads but experts warnthatthey could be capable of carrying nuclear weapons within years.

"As the commander of NORAD, I think probably the most important mission I do is provide threat warning and attack assessment for both Canada and the United States, for North America," VanHerck told a media roundtable.

"Hypersonics will challenge my ability to do that going forward."

Gen. Glen VanHerck said he gave a candid risk assessment to senior Canadian military and government leaders on Tuesday regarding hypersonics. (Corporal Jeff Smith, Canadian Forces Support Group Ottawa-Gatineau Imaging Services)

VanHercksaid he's not tasked with defending North America against hypersonics right now. He said it'sup to decision makers in Canada and the U.S. to tell him if his mission should change.

The U.S. missile defence review is looking into the technology, he said.Canada, meanwhile, is notconducting a similar review and hasn't laid out a clear position onwhat it woulddo to defend Canada from hypersonics.

VanHerck said that Canadian officials didn't share any policy decisions with him on Tuesday.He said he gave Defence Minister Anita Anand,Chief of Defence Staff Gen. Wayne Eyre and his vice-chief,Lt.-Gen. Frances Allen, information about the threat so that they candetermine "the way forward."

"It's not my job to get into the politics of, 'You should do this or that,'" he said. "My job is to lay out the facts of the risk, the capabilities that are out there."

The global race to master this next generation of weaponsis intensifying.

U.S. confirms China launched hypersonic

Russia said on Monday that it had carried out another successful test launch ofits Zircon hypersonic cruise missile. Moscow said the missilewas fired froma warship in the White Sea and hit a target more than 400 kilometresaway.

The U.S. Navy and Army also tested hypersonic weapon component prototypes last month on the same day that U.S President Joe Biden said he was concerned about Chinese hypersonic weapons.

China stunned the Pentagon in the summer by launching a rocket with a "fractional orbital bombardment system" to propel a"hypersonic glide vehicle" around the world for the first time. The weapon cameclose to hitting its target, the Financial Post reported.

Chinese military vehicles carrying DF-17 missiles roll during a parade to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the founding of Communist China in Beijing on Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2019. (Ng Han Guan/The Associated Press)

In a rare move last month, U.S. Gen.Mark A. Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, confirmed that China had conducted two hypersonic weaponstests. Hecalled the testsa "very significant technological event" that came "very close" to a "Sputnik moment," according to his interview with Bloomberg Television.

China's foreign ministry denied that aweapons test had taken place and called the device testeda space vehicle, rather than a missile.

VanHerck said Russia is already usinghypersonics in the field, while China is not.

"Russia's the primary military threat to North America," he said. "China is about a decade behind."

He said NORADneeds the capability to use artificial intelligence to feed defence officialsinformation about thethreat.

Canada and the U.S. have committed to modernizing NORAD to bring it intothe digital age.VanHerck said the modernizationdiscussionsare in the early stages.

"To say we're well down a path in discussion and have come to an agreement on anything would be false information," he said." I think we're in the infancy stages, not the running stages right now. We're getting ready to crawl, if you will."

There isn't a timeline or estimated cost yet, VanHerck said. Thenext step would be for Canada's defence minister and the U.S. secretary of defence to createa framework to move forward, he said.

Canada'shypersonics defenceposture unclear

When CBC News asked Anand's office what direction she would give VanHerck during their meeting Tuesday about hypersonics, a spokesperson said that"Canada and the United States coordinate closely regarding emerging threats to our continent."

"These threats include long-range cruise missiles including hypersonic missiles for which NORAD is devoting significant attention and resources in order to mitigate the threat they pose," wrote Anand's spokesperson Daniel Minden in a media statement.

A woman with dark hair wearing a white blazer stands at a podium with a mic
Defence Minister Anita Anand's office says Canada and the U.S. are coordinating closely on emerging threats, including hypersonic missiles. (The Canadian Press)

David Perry, vice president of the Canadian Global Affairs Institute, saidthe government's policy on hypersonicsremains "unclear."

Perry said parts of Canada's military, including ships and fighter aircraft, are oriented toward defending Canada from missile strikes. But in 2005, Canada opted out of joiningthe George W. Bush administration's ballistic missile defence.

In 2017, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau saidthat Canada would not change its position on missile defence"anytime soon." Anand's office also confirmed Tuesday that the position hasn't changed.

Perry said the U.S. is leading the world ondevelopment of systems to detect, track and destroy hypersonic missiles. But the Canadian federal government, he said,hasn't stated publicly if opting out of theU.S. ballistic missile defence effort also means the country continuesto opt out of defence arrangements forother missile types, like hypersonic glide vehicles.

"Since saying no to that, there's been a lack of at least public clarity about what exactly we will and won't do when it comes to defending Canada," said Perry.

Times have changed, Perry said,and Canada should clarify its positionnow that there's proof that Russia and China are aggressively modernizing theirmilitaries and pursuing new weapons technology.

"That means they now have the military capability that they can launch from their homeland that can reach North America," he said.

James Ferguson, deputy director of the Centre for Defence and Security Studies at the University of Manitoba, said Canada hasn't yet come up with a defensive response to hypersonic weapons.

"How do you classify them?"said Ferguson. "We just don't know whatthe government's thinking about this, if they're thinking about this at all."

"Our defence capabilities to deal with this new generation of threats, such as hypersonic vehicles, are obsolete. We have a major gap that needs to be filled for deterrent purposes."

Canada and the U.S.issued a joint statement in August committingto modernizing NORAD in the coming years and vowing to "respond to aerospace threats quickly and decisively."

Anand's office told CBC News in a media statement thatCanada earmarked $163 million in the 2021 budget for the NORAD modernization program and, in partnership with the U.S., will "continue to advance the necessary investments to keep Canadians and Americans safe from current and emerging threats."