Federal budget 2016: Liberals push deficit to spend big on families, cities
Tories call Justin Trudeau's 1st budget 'a bad day for taxpayers' as spending increases
The first budget from Justin Trudeau's government finds the Liberals compromising some of their election promises to keep others, laying out a longer and larger string of deficits to begin the kind of long-term investments they say Canada needs.
While the big ticket items match the platform that helped the Liberals win a majority last October, other commitments aren't ready to roll out.
Finance Minister Bill Morneau called the plan "reasonable and affordable,"despite the red ink washing across the otherwise sunny tone of his rookie budget.
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"Canadians told us two things: they said 'help me and my family' and 'make investments for the future,'" he told reporters before delivering his budget speech.
"What we're also going to do is be prudent along the way."
Prudent was not the word Conservatives used while reacting from the Opposition bench.
"This is a bad day for the taxpayers of Canada," interim leader Rona Ambrose said. "What we're seeing now is reckless spending without a job creation plan and no actual plan in the budget to return to a balance."
The Tories said that in totaltaxes were going up by "at least $1.3 billion a year." The Liberals broke their election promise to contain the deficit to$10 billion annually, they said.
New Democrats, on the other hand, focused on what they called "missed opportunities" to reduce inequality, slamming how the Liberals "shortchanged" First Nations education and child welfare.
"What we're looking at here is a failure to deliver not only on their own promises but a failure to deliver on things that the courts have required them to do," NDP Leader Tom Mulcairtold reporters.
The NDP said Liberals"failed to fix" the employment insurance system.The third partywanted to see more stock option loopholes closed and a greater investment in health care.
"Given the size of what they're spending, frankly it's surprising there are that many broken promises," Mulcair said.
New family benefit starts in July
The budget centres on a suite of moves to help middle-class Canadians,a focus of Liberal attention for months. A tax cut passed in December lowered themiddle-income tax rate by one and a half points and brought in a new top tax bracket for high earners.
A new tax-free Canada child benefit starting July 1 will increase payments for most Canadians with children, simplify the tax codeand offer greater assistanceto lower-income families.
It replaces both the income-tested tax-free Canada child tax benefit and the universal child care benefit, which was taxable.
Families with incomes under $30,000 will receive the maximum benefit of $6,400 per child under six and $5,400 per child between six and 17, a gain of about$2,500 a year per child.
As incomes rise, the benefit will be progressively clawed back, and eliminated entirely for households earning more than $190,000.
The $4.5-billion net cost of the program for the coming year is partially offset by the elimination of the Conservatives' income splitting for families, ameasure that would have cost the treasury $1.9 billion.
Tax credits for children's fitness and arts expenses also are being phased out over two years, with maximum eligible expenses cut in half for 2016 andeliminated entirely in 2017.
Billions for infrastructure, indigenous people
The 2016 budget begins fulfilling the Liberal pledge to spend $120 billion on new and existing infrastructure over 10 years.
Phase 1 will focus immediately on public transit, water and wastewater systems, and affordable housing, something Trudeau himself admitted last week was"unsexy."
Later investments will be "broader and more ambitious," the budget promises, focusing on the government's goal of shifting to a low-carbon economy andpositioning Canadian cities to be more competitive internationally.
The budget allocates $8.4 billion over five years to help bring about "transformational change" in the socio-economic conditions of Canada's indigenous peopleand their communities.
- Liberals keep most of their green election promises in budget
- Budget includes billions in new spending for Aboriginal Peoples
That includes $2.6 billion to improve primary and secondary education on reserves.
A further $635 million over that span will go to improve family and child services, a figure welfare advocate Cindy Blackstock said falls short of the spendingnecessary to bring services for First Nations children in line with non-indigenous services.
In the next two years, $500 million has been allocated to improve First Nations housing and another $225 million for on-reserve infrastructure.
Other funding targets improvements in drinking water and waste management.
EI overhaul, but no corporate tax cut
The budget also takes significant steps to overhaul the employment insurance system, something forecast to cost over $2.4 billion over the next two years.
But it does not change the corporate tax rate for small businesses, a move much-discussed during the fall election campaign.
Morneau told reporters Tuesday that what businesses really need is an economy that works. The middle-class consumers businesses rely on will see their circumstances improve with thebudget's measures, the finance minister said.
The 2016 budget also:
- Increases programs to assist injured veterans, and restores nine previously closed veterans affairs offices.
- Provides newinvestments to promote scientific research, including a $2-billion fund for post-secondary institutions to modernize their facilities.
- IncreasesCanada student grant amounts by 50 per cent for students from low- and middle-income families and part-time students.
- Rolls out a $2-billion low carbon economy fund, announced earlier this month with Canada's premiers at their meeting to discuss Canada's climate change strategy.
- Provides$675 million over five years to "modernize and revitalize" CBC/Radio-Canada.
- Booststhe guaranteed income supplement top-up benefitfor single, low-income seniorsby up to $947 annually, starting in July 2016.
- Funds a$112-million homelessness strategy, as well as funding for new spaces and support for people fleeing domestic violence.
The budget does not, however, provide additional transfers to the provinces to address rising health-care costs.
It doesreallocate$3.7 billion for large-scale capital spending planned for the Canadian military between 2015-16 and 2020-21, pushing it off to later years.
The government argues this is not a reduction in the Defence Department's budget, but a shifting of the spending forward to the years when the military expectsto be ready to make these purchases.
#Budget2016 confirms that another Decade of Darkness has started for the @CanadianForces - cuts in next 3 years are worse than 1995.
—@ErinOTooleMPHigher deficits throughout mandate
All this spending takes its toll on the budget balance, adding $11 billion to the federal deficit in 2016-17 alone, bringing it to $29.4 billion.
The Liberal election campaign promised modest deficits of $10 billion annually to fund infrastructure spending, with a return to balanced budgeting by the nextelection, expected in 2019.
No return to black ink is projected in Morneau's five-year forecast.
However, Morneau's budget speech emphasizes that by the time of the next election, Canada's debt-to-GDP ratio, a measure of how affordable Canada's deficitspending is relative to the strength of the economy, shouldbe lower than it is today, albeit only slightly.
The federal deficit calculations, however, are based on economic growth forecasts significantly more pessimistic than an average of private sector forecasts from February.
$29.4 billion in borrowed money. This budget is a nightmare scenario for the taxpayer. #Budget2016 pic.twitter.com/E4rYJovokp
—@RonaAmbroseThat choiceeffectivelyadds $6billion to the deficit.
If the economy does not stagnate or decline further to the extent of these worst-case scenarios, the Liberals could outperform their gloomy deficit forecastsdown the road.
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