Home | WebMail | Register or Login

      Calgary | Regions | Local Traffic Report | Advertise on Action News | Contact

Politics

What the Montreal byelection results mean for the parties, the PM and the next election

The Bloc Qubcois gains a second seat on the island of Montreal as the Liberals cope with the loss of another stronghold in less than four months.

Loss of Liberal bastion comes 4 months after party's surprising defeat in TorontoSt.Pauls

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the riding office of  Laura Palestini, Liberal candidate for LaSalleEmardVerdun in Montreal on Sunday August 11, 2024.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the riding office of Laura Palestini, Liberal candidate for LaSalleEmardVerdun, in Montreal on Sunday, August 11, 2024. (Peter McCabe/The Canadian Press)

The defeat of the Liberal candidate in the Montreal riding of LaSalle-mard-Verdun continues a streak of bad news for the governing Liberals, coming just four months after the party's unexpected loss in another supposedly safe seat in Toronto.

Bloc Qubcois candidate Louis-Philippe Sauv beat the Liberals' Laura Palestini by 250 votes intheLaSalle-mard-VerdunbyelectionMonday night. Voter turnout was a robust 40 per cent.

Here's what the results could mean for the main federal parties.

The Liberals

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and several cabinet ministers said Tuesday the party needsto reflect on how to engage with voters following the party's narrow defeat inLaSalle-mard-Verdun.

Voters' frustration with the prime minister has grown since he took office nine years ago. Liberal MP Alexandra Mends has said some of her constituents are "very adamant" he should no longer be at the helm of the party.

Innovation, Science and Industries Minister Franois-Philippe Champagne said Tuesday morning that Liberals need to "show humility," take stock of the results and workto gain voters' trust.

"The Bloc won't be able to block the Conservatives," Champagne said. "If we want to maintain what we achieved for Quebec and for the rest of the nation over the last few years, we need to make sure they understand we're the best option for them."

Dismissing the suggestion that Trudeau may not be the best person to lead the party into the next election, Champagne said the prime minister embodies the optimism the country needs in the coming months.

"I think he's the best person to take us there," he said.

WATCH: Liberals lose key Montreal byelection:

Trudeau under pressure after 2nd byelection loss

3 days ago
Duration 2:42
A byelection loss in the longtime Liberal stronghold of LaSallemardVerdun has put Prime Minister Justin Trudeau under pressure to defend his leadership as the government faces a potential non-confidence vote next week.

Immigration Minister Marc Miller, whose riding of Ville-MarieLe Sud-Ouestle-des-Soeursis close to LaSallemardVerdun, said he is "taking the loss quite personally"because he was confident the Liberals would win.

In June, Miller said the Liberals' defeat in Toronto St-Paul's shouldn't be minimized and "a lot of us have to step back, give our heads a shake, screw it on a little better. Stop the navel-gazing and get back on the horse and fight for Canadians."

The Bloc Qubcois

Louis-Philippe Sauv's surprise win brought the Bloc Qubcois its thirty-third seat.

Bloc Leader Yves-Franois Blanchet told reporters Tuesday the results of the byelection "created a bridge" between his party and Montrealers.

Bloc Qubcois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet bows as he presents newly-elected candidate Louis-Philippe Sauv
Bloc Qubcois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet bows as he presents newly-elected candidate Louis-Philippe Sauv on Tuesday, Sept.17, 2024 in Montreal. The Bloc Qubcois won the Montreal Liberal stronghold riding of LaSallemardVerdun after an extremely tight three-way race. (Christinne Muschi/The Canadian Press)

The Bloc previously held only one riding on the island of Montreal, La Pointe-de-l'le, a stronghold for the party.

"Two months ago, the analysts would have told you it was impossible," Blanchetsaid at a news conference in Montreal.

Blanchet said the win "allows us to speak directly to the English community to which I have been open for all my years in politics."

More than half (about 58 per cent) of LaSalle-mard-Verdun residents are francophones, according to census data.

About a quarter of the riding's residents roughly 23 per cent list English as their mother tongue. The LaSalle portion of the seat also has a sizeable Italian-Canadian community.

The New Democratic Party

Clinging to a single seat in Quebec, the New Democrats currently appear unable to revive their popularity in a province they swept more than a decade ago.

The NDPfailed to break through in LaSalle-mard-Verdun despitea candidate with name recognition Craig Sauv,a Montreal municipal councillor.

Sauv, a prominent figure in the Sud-Ouest borough, finished in third.

WATCH | Craig Sauv thanks NDP supporters in Montreal riding byelection:

Craig Sauv thanks NDP supporters in Montreal riding byelection

4 days ago
Duration 2:13
Ahead of final results in the Montreal byelection in the riding of LaSalle-mard-Verdun Monday night, NDP candidate Craig Sauv said his campaign was a dream and thanked his supporters.

His performance, and the fact that he was presented by the party as a star candidate, suggest the NDP has been struggling since ending itssupply-and-confidence agreement with the Liberals on Sept 4.

Before the NDPmanaged tohang on to its seat in theElmwoodTransconabyelection, former NDPMPFranoise Boivin questioned whether a loss in the riding would signal that leader Jagmeet Singh took too long to end the deal with the Liberals.

The Conservatives

For the Conservatives, the loss in LaSalle-mard-Verdun was a missed opportunity to weaken the Liberals as theypressureother opposition parties to force what they'recalling a "carbon tax election" this fall.

The Conservatives' candidate, business owner Louis Ialenti, took 11.6 per cent of votes in the Montreal byelection, placing him in fourth.

Despite polls suggesting the Conservatives are leading nationally, that momentum hasn't translated to Quebec, where they remain in third place.

Since the creation of the modern Conservative Party under Stephen Harper, the Tories have struggled to maintain double-digit seat numbers in Quebec and are competitive in five to 10 ridings in the province.

The party won 10 Quebec seats in the 2021 election, mostly in the area around Quebec City.

With files from John Paul Tasker, Sabrina Jonas, Christian Paas-Lang and Darren Major