Will the fossil fuel deal at COP28 lead to action? Take a look at 5 previous decisions - Action News
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Will the fossil fuel deal at COP28 lead to action? Take a look at 5 previous decisions

United Nations climate negotiators on Wednesday declared the world must transition away from oil, gas and coal. But will countries keep their word? Here's a look at the outcome of decisions from 5 previous climate summits.

Promises and progress from Kyoto, Copenhagen, Paris, Glasgow and Sharm El-Sheik

A man with a head scarf and glasses stands in front of a blue screen that reads COP28 UAE.
COP28 President Sultan al-Jaber holds the gavel at the end of the COP28 UN Climate Summit on Wednesday in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (Peter Dejong/The Associated Press)

United Nations climate negotiators on Wednesday declared the world must transition away from oil, gas and coal, a significant decision by nearly 200 countries in nearly 30 years of climate talks.

But will countries keep their word, moving away from planet-warming fossil fuels and toward more green energies like solar and wind?

History may provide some insight into that question.

Here are five of the most important decisions to come from climate talks, and what has happened since.

Emissions cuts in Kyoto

The third climate summit took place in Kyoto, Japan, in 1997 one of the warmest years recorded in the 20th century.

Known as the Kyoto Protocol, the agreement asked the European Union and another 41 high-emitting countries across the world to cut their emissions by a little more than five per centcompared to 1990 levels. Emissions cuts can be achieved in many ways, such as deploying green energies like wind and solar, whichdon't produce emissions, to making things that do, like vehicles with combustible engines, run more cleanly.

WATCH | Kyoto: A promise to cut greenhouse gas emissions:

Kyoto: 'A very real deal' on climate change

27 years ago
Duration 3:40
At the 1997 Kyoto Conference, Canada commits to specific greenhouse gas reductions - but not everyone at home is thrilled about it.

Despite the agreement to cut emissions, it was only in 2005 that countries agreed to finally act on the Kyoto Protocol. The United States and China the world's two highest emitters both then and now didn't sign the agreement.

In terms of sticking to the promises made, Kyoto wasn't successful. Emissions have increased dramatically since then.

At the time, 1997 was the hottest year on record since pre-industrial times but 1998 broke that record, as have more than a dozen years since then.

But Kyoto is still considered a landmark moment in the fight against climate change because it was first time so many countries recognized the problem and pledged to act on it.

Copenhagen's climate cash

By the time the 2009 conference in Denmark came around, the world was capping off its warmest decade on record which has since been broken.

The summit is widely regarded as a failure for the impasse between developed and developing countries on slashing emissions and whether poorer nations could use fossil fuels to grow their economies. Still, it did see one major pledge: money for countries to transition to clean energy.

Rich countries promised to channel $100 billion US (about $136 billion Cdn at current exchange rates) a year to developing countries for green technologies by 2020. But they didn't reach $100 billion by the start of the 2020s, drawing criticism from developing states and environmentalists alike.

WATCH | Copenhagen: Helping poor nations transition:

Copenhagen climate deal

15 years ago
Duration 15:58
Canada and other nations leave Copenhagen having compromised on non-binding climate deal

In 2022, the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development said rich countries might have finally met and even exceeded the $100 billion goal. But Oxfam, a group focused on anti-poverty efforts, said it's likely that 70 per centof the funds were in the form of loans that actually increased the debt crisis in developing countries.

And as climate change worsens, experts say thepromised funds are not enough. Research published by climate economist Nicholas Stern found that developing countries likely need $2 trillion US for climate action every year by 2030.

The Paris Agreement

It wasn't until 2015 that a global pact to fight climate change was adopted by nearly 200 nations, which called on the world to collectively slash greenhouse gases. But they decided it would be non-binding, meaning countries that didn't comply couldn't be sanctioned.

The Paris Agreement is widely considered the single biggest UN achievement in efforts to confront climate change. It was agreed upon eight years ago to a standing ovation at the plenary. Nations agreed to keep warming "well below" 2 C since pre-industrial times, and ideally no higher than 1.5 C .

WATCH | Paris: Putting a number on progress:

'Historic' Paris climate deal adopted

9 years ago
Duration 3:22
Nearly 200 nations said yes to a deal to reduce and slow carbon emissions and slowing global warming

Paris' legacy continues, with the goal of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees still central to climate discussions. Scientists agree that the 1.5 threshold needs to be upheld because every tenth of a degree of warming brings even more disastrous consequences, in the form of extreme weather events, for an already hot planet.

The world hasn't exceeded the limit set in the Paris agreement it has warmed around 1.1 or 1.2 C since the early 1800s but is currently well on its way there, unless drastic emissions cuts are made quickly.

Glasgow and coal

Six years after Paris, global warming had hit such a critical point that negotiators were looking to recommit to the goal of capping warming to the levels agreed in 2015.

Average temperatures were already 1.1 C higher than pre-industrial times.

The Glasgow summit was postponed until 2021 as the world was emerging from the COVID-19 pandemic. It included mass protests headlined by climate activist Greta Thunberg, who helped lead a global movement of youth activists to demand more action from leaders.

After last-minute disagreements over the language of the final document, countries agreed to "phase down" coal, less strong than the original idea of a "phase-out." India and China, two heavily coal-reliant emerging economies, pushed to water down the language.

WATCH | Glasgow: Coal gets phased down, not phased out:

Countries reach climate deal at COP26, compromise on coal

3 years ago
Duration 5:12
Almost 200 nations attending the UN Climate Change conference in Glasgow accepted a contentious climate compromise aimed at keeping alive a key target to limit global warming, but it contained a last-minute change that some high officials called a watering down of crucial language about coal.

The burning of coal is responsible for more emissions than any other fossil fuel, approximately 40 per cent of global carbon dioxide emissions. Burning of oil and gas are also major sources of emissions.

So far, countries have failed to deliver on the Glasgow deal. Emissions from coal have slightly increased and major coal-using countries have yet to begin moving away from the dirtiest of fossil fuels.

India is a case in point. It's dependent on coal for more than 70 per centof power generation, and plans a major expansion of coal-based power generation capacity over the next 16 months.

Loss and damage in Sharm El-Sheikh

At last year's climate talks in the Egyptian resort town of Sharm el-Sheikh, countries for the first time agreed to create a fund to help poorer nations recover from the impacts of climate change.

Coming a few months after devastating flooding in Pakistan that killed nearly 2,000 people and caused losses of over $30 billion US, COP27 delegates decided to set up the loss and damage fund so that destroyed homes, flooded land and lost income from crops damaged by climate change would compensated.

WATCH | Sharm El-Sheikh: Assistance for countries in distress:

COP27 delegates agree on climate damage fund for poor nations

2 years ago
Duration 2:12
Delegates at COP27 in Egypt spent all night drafting a historic deal that includes an agreement to help poor countries ravaged by a severe climate with money from countries with high carbon emissions. But some say the deal doesn't go far enough to reduce emissions.

After disagreements around what the fund should look like, the fund was formally created on the first day of this year's talks in Dubai. Over $700 million US has already been pledged. The pledges and the amounts the countries choose to commit are voluntary.

Climate experts say the pledges are just a fraction of the billions of dollars needed, as climate-driven weather extremes such as cyclones, rising sea levels, floods and droughts are increasing.

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