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World

Romney sees need for big win in Illinois

Republicans caucused in Missouri on Saturday and vote in Puerto Rico's primary on Sunday, but the party's presidential hopefuls have already turned their eyes toward Illinois.

Voters in Puerto Rico get their say on Sunday

Rick Santorum, left, and Mitt Romney, seen during a televised debate in February, are locked in a tight race in the important Midwestern state of Illinois. (Jae C. Hon/Associated Press/File)

Republicans caucused in Missouri on Saturday andvote in Puerto Rico's primary on Sunday, but the party's presidential hopefuls have already turned their eyes toward Illinois.

Confident of victory inthe American commonwealth that sends delegates to the conventions but whose citizens do not have the vote, front-runner Mitt Romneycut short his planned weekend in Puerto Rico to hit the trail in Illinois on Saturday, adding extra campaign stops in a bid to turn back the resurgent Rick Santorum.

Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul are also campaigning in President Barack Obama's home state.

The change in campaign plans suggestthe former Massachusetts governor is feeling pressure for a substantial victory in Illinois following Santorum's recentsurprise victories in Alabama and Mississippi.

The former Pennsylvania senator didn't spend much time inPuerto Rico, but he likely cost himself votes with controversial statements about its language, suggesting that citizens there would have to speak English if they hoped to campaign for statehood. Aides later tried to puta better face on Santorum's statement, but the damage appeared to be done, virtually ensuring Romney would pick up most of Puerto Rico's 20 delegates.

The island's political status statehood, independence or no change from its status as a U.S. commonwealth is the critical issue underlying Sunday's primary, but protecting the culture and language of the island is an emotional part of the equation. Puerto Ricans will vote on the island's status in November.

Santorum's strategy

Observers say Rick Santorum's strategy for becoming the Republican presidential nominee comes down to this: Prevent Mitt Romney from winning the delegates needed to secure a first-ballot nomination at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Fla. beginning Aug. 27, claim a mandate with a strong showing in the remaining state-by-state contests and persuade delegates to ignore election results in their states.

Santorum sees himself as the preferred candidate of conservatives, given victories in the Deep South and elsewhere. He wants to make the remaining contests a head-to-head match against Romney, winning beyond conservativeregionsin hopes of denyingthe front-runnerthe clinching number of convention delegates.But there's a hitch: Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the House of Representatives, is splitting the conservative vote andrefusing to drop out of the race.

Santorum spent Saturday morning in Missouri, where he has already won a primary that awarded no delegates to the party's national convention, before moving on to Illinois. Missouri Republicans were meeting in county caucuses Saturday, the first step toward choosing delegates to the national convention who are committed to specific candidates.

Romney has eked out victories over Santorum in Michigan and Ohio, butpolling suggests Romney's lead in Illinois has slipped badly, though he is still seen as leading thanks tourban and suburban voters in and around Chicago. But they say that after the ups and downs of the past few months, they're not taking the state for granted. Santorum's popularity with evangelical conservatives could make him appealing in the rural downstate area.

"This is not a cycle for confidence. This is a cycle for hard work," said Ron Kaufman, a top Romney adviser.

Delegate count

Romney has captured 495 delegates to the Republican National Convention, more than all of his rivals combined. Santorum stands at 252, Newt Gingrich has 131 and Texas Representative Ron Paul is at 48, according to an Associated Press projection. That puts Romney on pace to win the required 1,144 delegates in June contests.

Santorum is looking for another primary shocker in Illinois on Tuesday and beyond to Louisiana's primary next Saturday, which is more favourable territory. He is trying to make the case that Romney and Obama are indistinguishable on key issues of the day.

"People ask me why I am the best candidate to run against Barack Obama," Santorum said at a campaign stop Saturday afternoon in the southern Illinois town of Effingham. "I feel like in some respects like I am running against Barack Obama here in this primary because Mitt Romney has the same positions as Barack Obama in this primary."

Santorum reminded the crowd, filled with supporters of the limited government, anti-tax Tea Party movement, that Massachusetts enacted a health insurance mandate that some regard as a template for the national heath-care reform law that foes deride as "Obamacare." He said Romney wouldn't be able to effectively combat Obama on the issue as the Republican nominee.

Likewise, he likened Romney's moves to regulate carbon emissions to what he called a strategy out of former vice-president Al Gore's anti-global warming playbook.