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British Columbia

B.C.'s real estate market showing signs of recovery from slump, association says

B.C. Real Estate Association Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson says the market is showing early signs thathome sales and prices have bottomed out, and expects to see some stability come spring.

Sales and prices weak compared to February 2022, but month-on-month numbers improving

Detached homes are pictured in Vancouver, British Columbia on Wednesday, September 22, 2021.
B.C.'s real estate market is showing signs of recovery after slumping from an extraordinarily hot market in 2022. (Ben Nelms/CBC)

There are signs that B.C.'s once-hot real estate market is beginning to recover from a slump in sales and prices, with experts hopeful for improved numbers in thespring.

According to the B.C. Real Estate Association (BCREA), more than 4,700 residential unit sales were recorded in the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) last month, down 46.5 per cent compared to February last year.

During the real estate market's peak, in February 2022, the average MLS listingprice was $1.1 million, the association says. In February 2023that number had dropped by 14.7 per cent to $941,575.

However,the average price this February was up 8.5 per cent over January, reachingits highest level since July 2022, the BCREA said in a media release. It said this is in partdue to a more stable market, but also because more single detached homes were on the market in the Lower Mainland in January.

BCREAchief economist Brendon Ogmundson says the market is showing early signs thathome sales and prices have bottomed out, and expects to see more stability soon.

"It seems like at least the beginning of maybe a shift in the housing market," Ogmundson said, adding there is typically more real estate activity during the spring months.

"The next two months, especially, will be a real test; if the spring turns out to be a little stronger than expected, it would be a really encouraging sign."

Tom Davidoff, an associate professor in the University of British Columbia's Sauder School of Business, said sales volumes have been "very, very low."Butat the same time, as interest rates continue to climb, Davidoff said it's been "quite surprising" that housing prices haven't plummeted.

"Interest rates have been an important force in elevating housing prices over the last 10 or 20 years," he explained.

He says market conditions are attributable to homeowners' reluctance to sell he said it's unlikely owners would sell in the current market when they could have got 15 per cent more a year ago.

With files from Cali McTavish